Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1540a94d44ccc1342fbf951a2b5288f93062ce17da7f8efeed5650b048574095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 43c | 63,466$27,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,285.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 57c | 19,617$11,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,181.69 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 13,959$8,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,017.18 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 57c | 13,158$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 57c | 8,018$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 6,214$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.67 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes | 44c | 5,028$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 2,332$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.18 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 50c | 1,988$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 57c | 1,934$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.38 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…b0e9backed No | 57c | 1,414$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 46c | 1,352$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.33 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 910.3$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.59 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 790.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 763.94$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 658.17$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 608.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.89 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 5c | 499.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 50c | 492.47$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 479.19$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 57c | 414.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.54 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -11.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…53f2backed No | 57c | 398$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 57c | 376.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 57c | 376.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 57c | 376.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 54c | 351.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 54c | 351.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 13c | 343.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 333.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 66c | 320.08$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 56c | 304.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 56c | 304.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 304.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 56c | 304.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 57c | 296.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.21 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 56c | 292.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 239$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 14c | 234.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 227.79$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 227.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 208.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 197.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.73 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 181.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 10c | 175.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 22c | 169.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked No | 58c | 164.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 57c | 148.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 57c | 148.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 134$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 57c | 126.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 57c | 126.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 57c | 109.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 96.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 20c | 84.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 33c | 77.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 68.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 18c | 60.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 45c | 60.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 43c | 57.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 63c | 50.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…cccabacked No | 31c | 46.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 42c | 38.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 57c | 37.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed No | 50c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…9669backed Yes | 43c | 30.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 29.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 43c | 28.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked No | 57c | 28.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 69c | 28.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 75c | 28.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 57c | 28.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…433bbacked Yes | 62c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…7d25backed No | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.