TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde04…fa37backed Yes33c17,206$5,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,631.7241339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c10,226$6,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.7477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No67c4,000$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,604$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.853,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No68c1,602$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.5313053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c1,252$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68f…3211backed Yes12c1,014$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.23234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33026050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c920.58$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5153046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No67c721.29$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.355750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes33c706.06$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c704$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1147748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No67c683.66$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6113942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes9c566.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.941,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No66c550$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1872259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No67c529.72$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.527542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No67c522.34$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.378845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c507$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes21c485.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4358043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes19c412.43$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3726346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No68c343$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.764369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c271.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3728721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No76c254$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.254949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes14c241.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4810249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No67c227.28$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No74c204$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f60…3a69backed Yes8c159$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes21c149.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.939234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No67c134$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes16c131.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c121$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.931,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b49…178dbacked Yes34c114.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No68c102.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.542941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Yes14c100.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes12c91.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes29c84.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2537249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No69c72.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.873151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed No69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.76264.5%40 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No67c68.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.382931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No67c65.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.89458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No68c65.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.022450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No67c65.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.353863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c64.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.824920.9%52 W · 197 L-19.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked No67c62.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…a92abacked No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No65c58.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.512848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No71c58.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No68c54.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.376056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No67c47.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.86454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c47.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3524859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.088552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes32c41.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.153636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No68c39.84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.864447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No73c39.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No67c37.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.364858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d4…5847backed No68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No67c35.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.748563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No67c35.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.746358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No67c35.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.749250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No67c35.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.743565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No68c34.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.291060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No68c34.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.299452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No68c34.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.296752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No68c34.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked No67c34.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No67c34.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.328652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.788065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf19b…4db7backed No67c29.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes34c29.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No68c29.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked No68c29.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No68c29.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c28.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.71,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef92…f133backed No68c24.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No67c24.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0510655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No68c23.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4391553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed No68c22.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed No68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No69c21.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.653351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…c830backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed No68c18.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked No68c18.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.761275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed No68c15.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.882965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No68c14.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.