Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa54fb24802a45711efc0c13bf24edbde48cc46d6d902cdef5c8964e66c12ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 9,902$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.92 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 50c | 3,860$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.01 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 1,105$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.48 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 53c | 1,003$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 684.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 674.37$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 46c | 578.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 21c | 478.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 55c | 455.18$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 25c | 420.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 398.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 308.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 295$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 250.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 11c | 231.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 49c | 209.08$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 197.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 28c | 178.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 163.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 50c | 138.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 40c | 103.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 34c | 102.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 30c | 97.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 103 | 19.4%20 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 35c | 95.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Yes | 51c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 78.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 66.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 50c | 45.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Yes | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 35.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed Yes | 51c | 33.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Yes | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 73c | 24.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 64c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will New England Revolution vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.