Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf874667dcc2d576352ed52dd09ba235d9587b6f9355887fb3392cf0123500d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 5,894$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 3,216$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.2 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 52c | 2,029$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.13 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 1,766$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.81 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 1,149$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.2 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 56c | 660.71$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 67c | 586.8$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.05 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Yes | 55c | 477.6$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 399.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.01 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 383.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 22c | 330$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 309$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 52c | 290.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 35c | 256.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 219.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Yes | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 30c | 151.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 33c | 114.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Yes | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 38c | 95.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Yes | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 12c | 86.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 28c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 59.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 47c | 57.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Yes | 53c | 56.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Yes | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed Yes | 33c | 39.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed No | 61c | 32.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 48c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…e268backed Yes | 55c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-29?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-29?No won
- Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.