Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118f18748d022f6d81062ec16d159490f9ec8a8ef19c650382f6d7af825bba46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 13c | 1,068$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 29c | 263.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 238.33$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed No | 72c | 139.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 123.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 76c | 119.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 24c | 100.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Yes | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 33.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 72c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 72c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.