Asian League · resolved market
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f97f42089649c4e5f14349ca56e902e98298e7f3dc60ced22c21e56359bf462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 7,774$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.62 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 41c | 758.81$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 80c | 758.4$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 40c | 739.41$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 734.55$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 10c | 725.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 41c | 668$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 556.55$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 73c | 509.53$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…306fbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 59c | 470.38$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 14c | 432.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 70c | 392.04$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 59c | 385.38$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 384.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 71c | 383.46$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 70c | 356.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 71c | 352.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 67c | 338.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.26 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 42c | 304.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 301$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 43c | 277.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 60c | 250.26$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 68c | 247.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 42c | 197$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 68c | 186.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 65c | 184.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 42c | 182.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 181.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Yes | 68c | 173.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 140.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…1002backed Yes | 42c | 121.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 15c | 117.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 117.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 107.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 106.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 60c | 105.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 61c | 98.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 70c | 92.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 60c | 89.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 60c | 83.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 60c | 83.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 60c | 80.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 59c | 74.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 70c | 71.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 60c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 72c | 55.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 67c | 53.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 59c | 46.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7b…aec1backed No | 59c | 46.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 59c | 46.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 60c | 46.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 59c | 42.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 59c | 42.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 59c | 42.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked No | 60c | 41.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 59c | 39.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 67c | 33.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed No | 60c | 31.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 40c | 31.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…5a71backed Yes | 44c | 25.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 59c | 18.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…e5e1backed No | 57c | 17.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 68c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.