MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c1f89bfd7cb06176c77b04a98abba8d01539f50d48da5bd1c512c380f3c9a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked LG Twins | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed KT Wiz | 45c | 1,052$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.37 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed KT Wiz | 52c | 958.77$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 71c | 628.78$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 47c | 479.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.77 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 53c | 454.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked LG Twins | 76c | 419$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked KT Wiz | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed LG Twins | 47c | 313.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 24c | 296.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 48c | 229.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed LG Twins | 46c | 199.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 61c | 197.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed KT Wiz | 53c | 167.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked KT Wiz | 28c | 158.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 64c | 144.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed LG Twins | 53c | 139.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed LG Twins | 74c | 123$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed LG Twins | 40c | 122.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed KT Wiz | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed KT Wiz | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed LG Twins | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed LG Twins | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed KT Wiz | 54c | 92.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LG Twins | 56c | 87.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LG Twins | 39c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 74.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 56c | 71.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked LG Twins | 73c | 66.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 46c | 64.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed KT Wiz | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 52c | 59.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked KT Wiz | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed KT Wiz | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 27c | 51.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed LG Twins | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked LG Twins | 47c | 48.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked LG Twins | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed LG Twins | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 39c | 45.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed LG Twins | 58c | 44.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed KT Wiz | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed KT Wiz | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed KT Wiz | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 162 | 74.1%120 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed LG Twins | 58c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LG Twins | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed KT Wiz | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked KT Wiz | 47c | 27.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked LG Twins | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed LG Twins | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed LG Twins | 60c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed LG Twins | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed LG Twins | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed KT Wiz | 51c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed KT Wiz | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 54c | 19.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…41afbacked LG Twins | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.