MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee9f6a2cdadd853fca8d64e41338c2b0e50e6d978705bf754f75c12935579aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof NC Dinos, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Doosan Bears | 49c | 2,036$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.01 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 1,966$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.68 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 800.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 700.27$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed NC Dinos | 47c | 656$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos | 52c | 620.35$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.38 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 407$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 48c | 363.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 49c | 285.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed NC Dinos | 53c | 164.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed NC Dinos | 53c | 161.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 29c | 140.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 50c | 93.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NC Dinos | 52c | 89.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 82.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed NC Dinos | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked NC Dinos | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed NC Dinos | 57c | 71.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 50c | 71.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 68.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 63.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Doosan Bears | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked NC Dinos | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NC Dinos | 51c | 50.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed NC Dinos | 52c | 47.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 46.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 52c | 39.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NC Dinos | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed NC Dinos | 51c | 31.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed NC Dinos | 53c | 31.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 446 | 48.7%217 W · 229 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 28.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed NC Dinos | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed NC Dinos | 49c | 20.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed NC Dinos | 53c | 20.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed NC Dinos | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.