TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Doosan Bearsof NC Dinos, Doosan Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Doosan Bears49c2,036$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.0161351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Doosan Bears53c1,966$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.6839041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed NC Dinos47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019246.9%90 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked NC Dinos50c800.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020848.1%100 W · 108 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485a…a7c3backed Doosan Bears48c700.27$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.146848.5%33 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed NC Dinos47c656$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.321,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed NC Dinos52c620.35$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.389350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked NC Dinos51c407$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.579837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos48c363.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.321,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked NC Dinos52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos49c285.5$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Doosan Bears49c179.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5916456.7%93 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed NC Dinos53c164.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed NC Dinos53c161.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8544348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos29c140.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8570735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Doosan Bears71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.859656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Doosan Bears52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos50c93.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.264,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed NC Dinos52c89.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6920044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears67c82.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.836,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed NC Dinos49c73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7717645.5%80 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630a…f06bbacked NC Dinos48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354425%11 W · 33 L-8.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-45.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed NC Dinos57c71.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos50c71.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8940351.4%207 W · 196 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Doosan Bears50c68.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.426369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked NC Dinos52c68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3672247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears47c63.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1873243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe129…fef1backed Doosan Bears48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked NC Dinos47c61.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed NC Dinos51c50.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8940846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed NC Dinos52c47.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7714555.9%81 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked NC Dinos50c46.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7237357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos52c39.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.642,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears53c37.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NC Dinos53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5595041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed NC Dinos51c31.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1255643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed NC Dinos53c31.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears48c31.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.043548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed NC Dinos50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos52c28.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9737349.6%185 W · 188 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed NC Dinos53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510536.2%38 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1923647%111 W · 125 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos53c21.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed NC Dinos49c20.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed NC Dinos53c20.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9546946.3%217 W · 252 L-25.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed NC Dinos49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024646.7%115 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NC Dinos51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.299447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.