Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0a5a54c3dddac3c3824d7e3c7f4485108e96366ad34a26d6420d9f7c7324ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 41c | 2,448$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.97 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 1,988$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.93 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 1,782$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,529$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 52c | 1,267$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.63 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.9 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 63c | 886.32$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 32c | 791.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 651.18$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.06 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 62c | 596.36$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 557.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 39c | 535.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 21c | 477.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 363.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.16 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 34c | 331.03$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 40c | 318.14$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…98fabacked No | 32c | 294.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 245.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 242.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 169.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…136fbacked Yes | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 164.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 65c | 144.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 66c | 142.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 66c | 142.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 66c | 142.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 66c | 142.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 66c | 142.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 64c | 128.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bd…f8a9backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 60c | 89.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 46c | 88.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Yes | 62c | 85.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 61c | 85.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 80.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 61c | 75.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 74.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 39c | 73.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…56d6backed No | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ba…56c1backed Yes | 74c | 65.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 61c | 65.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 64c | 50.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 64c | 48.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Yes | 61c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked No | 31c | 42.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…df7fbacked Yes | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 48c | 38.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a6d0backed Yes | 71c | 38.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 62c | 37.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 62c | 37.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed No | 40c | 37.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 61c | 36.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…84c9backed Yes | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fc…6c2dbacked Yes | 76c | 32.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes | 39c | 30.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed No | 61c | 30.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21d2backed Yes | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…a5aabacked Yes | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…2b45backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3f60backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Yes | 72c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.