MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe78d27f802ab2ccd9e4e5fa6b1c484ab848bb64225622179f46a4853eea97b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof Kiwoom Heroes, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked NC Dinos | 65c | 1,073$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 67c | 641.66$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed NC Dinos | 65c | 603.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 520.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked NC Dinos | 72c | 362.16$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NC Dinos | 75c | 312.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 299.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 24c | 289.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 207.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 199.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 155.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 19c | 137.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 69c | 136.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 15c | 119.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 101.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed NC Dinos | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed NC Dinos | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 63c | 69.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 78c | 63.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 57.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 50.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Kiwoom Heroes | 29c | 47.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 40.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 60c | 35.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 64c | 30.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.