MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x365bbc8ce0a4e06a54bd23a4d44cc402af9e5d5c8663da4d014121c5473464dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 3,802$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 40c | 1,928$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.2 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 901.89$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.21 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 704.1$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.72 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 695.49$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.54 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 628.19$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 553.9$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Samsung Lions | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 75c | 350.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Samsung Lions | 29c | 335.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Kiwoom Heroes | 61c | 316.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 311.59$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…7f6cbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 309.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 55c | 231.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 36c | 187.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 10c | 158.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 36c | 157.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Samsung Lions | 38c | 145.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 34c | 142.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 141.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…b327backed Samsung Lions | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 25c | 138.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Samsung Lions | 37c | 130.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Samsung Lions | 45c | 126.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Samsung Lions | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 10c | 116.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Samsung Lions | 49c | 102.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 74c | 99.12$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samsung Lions | 66c | 79.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Samsung Lions | 20c | 69.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 69c | 63.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Samsung Lions | 31c | 58.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 53.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 49.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Kiwoom Heroes | 58c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…2b0dbacked Samsung Lions | 66c | 33.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…c01dbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 33.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Samsung Lions | 65c | 30.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Samsung Lions | 39c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed Samsung Lions | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Samsung Lions | 69c | 20.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Samsung Lions | 67c | 19.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 73c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Samsung Lions | 79c | 12.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.