MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01913326526a946635dc7b149c74d9fb228768695abf4e9ab689426e737ef326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7104…12c4backed LG Twins | 55c | 610.18$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed LG Twins | 42c | 422.55$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.08 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 362.69$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 359.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LG Twins | 51c | 304.77$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed LG Twins | 48c | 285.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed LG Twins | 46c | 282.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samsung Lions | 44c | 273.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 295 | 47.1%139 W · 156 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 20c | 174.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed LG Twins | 50c | 141.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 90.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 73c | 82.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 49c | 73.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Samsung Lions | 18c | 72.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…041cbacked LG Twins | 55c | 71.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed LG Twins | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149b…0ca8backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Samsung Lions | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…51f9backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LG Twins | 52c | 48.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 49c | 46.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed LG Twins | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Samsung Lions | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked LG Twins | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 50c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 23.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bd…dd85backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked LG Twins | 60c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed LG Twins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.