Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a1b00ea78964a490b30b8cd7fc99f6687eea71cddf9676da2e5ca9c3f9010a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 53c | 8,394$4,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,448.86 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…b330backed Yes | 47c | 5,098$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 63c | 1,556$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 1,325$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.64 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 53c | 1,148$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 1,125$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 785.41$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.03 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 53c | 749.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 48c | 652$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.63 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 66c | 597.6$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 51c | 584.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 536.73$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.51 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 535.29$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 48c | 525.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 47c | 522.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 496$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.33 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 491.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.48 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 461.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 422.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 48c | 414.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 46c | 401.5$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 52c | 374.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 321.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 52c | 286.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.74 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 276.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 4c | 268.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.87 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed Yes | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 74c | 233.1$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.45 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 36c | 194.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 188.67$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 148.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 148$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 24c | 133.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 133.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 46c | 130.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 48c | 128.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 47c | 123.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 48c | 113.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 16c | 108.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 47c | 103.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 54c | 92.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 53c | 92.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 92.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 72c | 89.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Yes | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Yes | 49c | 81.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 52c | 80.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 79.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 47c | 67.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 63c | 63.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 47c | 62.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 47c | 62.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 47c | 62.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 48c | 60.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 59.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 53.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 48c | 52.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 47c | 45.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 50c | 42.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…b466backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 41.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 36c | 40.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed No | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 47c | 36.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 47c | 36.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…25ecbacked Yes | 40c | 34.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 52c | 34.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 52c | 34.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 52c | 33.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 52c | 32.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 52c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 52c | 31.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 52c | 31.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 52c | 31.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 52c | 31.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…3892backed Yes | 43c | 30.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 52c | 27.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 27.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 47c | 27.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 48c | 25.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.