Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44e692a49f1d61de25ac7642d9d8c9f6e889e5fc7fd5c8183fa5b68e4c90a644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 45c | 3,180$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.26 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 2,542$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.54 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,696$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 31c | 981.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 890.07$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.41 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 742$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.51 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 635.07$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…9ca7backed Yes | 27c | 593.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 36c | 568.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 57c | 563.16$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 13c | 498.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 458.69$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 71c | 416.32$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Yes | 27c | 416$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 13c | 367.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 52c | 356.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 346.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 60c | 330.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 70c | 300.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed No | 56c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +120%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 43c | 290.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 277.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 73c | 275.57$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…f195backed No | 27c | 260$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 256.81$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 213$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 28c | 201.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 173.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 172.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 74c | 164.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 26c | 163.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 161.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 32c | 160.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 74c | 152.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 41c | 139$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 78c | 128.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 58c | 124.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 27c | 123.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 64c | 91.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 51c | 88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 26c | 87.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 14c | 79.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 14c | 79.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 14c | 79.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 14c | 76.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 74c | 70.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 37c | 67.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 74c | 64.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 56c | 59.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 74c | 57.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 26c | 53.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 49c | 49.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 46.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 46c | 42.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 42.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 64c | 29.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…3892backed Yes | 65c | 29.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 73c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 75c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 61c | 18.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Yes | 72c | 17.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.