Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a592a4982cbef41772ca3342c5dd6d53c984c9f2e982cd0362613270d6aab51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,283$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.66 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 767.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 544.4$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 443.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 76c | 334.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 330.24$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 78c | 318.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 282.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 20c | 261.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 244.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 235.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 28c | 221.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed No | 74c | 168.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +120%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 161.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 152.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yes | 35c | 148.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed No | 80c | 128.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 25c | 96.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 90.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 13c | 78.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 31c | 66.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 71c | 35.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 61c | 31.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41f…2a81backed No | 77c | 26.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 60c | 25.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 72c | 24.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 72c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked No | 72c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 76c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-04?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.