Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23df34c7d4af71ee5bd02aab713192571e41aa3dc29838a9eb1b7013e268606d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 5,994$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.74 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 3,587$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 21c | 3,429$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.57 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Under | 1c | 2,901$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 45c | 2,221$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 65c | 1,503$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.55 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,345$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Under | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 73c | 980.86$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.05 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 27c | 837.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 807.82$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.36 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 52c | 767.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 43c | 604.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 589.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.69 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 516.52$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 63c | 491.07$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.59 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 430.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.21 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 8c | 328.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 321.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.41 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 317.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.87 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 10c | 299.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.6 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 62c | 269.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 58c | 199.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 42c | 189.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 171.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 165.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 76c | 130.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 60c | 118.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 13c | 110.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Over | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 48c | 82.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 51c | 81.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 49c | 79.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 57c | 78.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed Under | 52c | 76.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 43c | 66.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 56.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 53.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 44c | 46.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 46c | 44.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 50c | 42.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Over | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 34c | 35.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Under | 71c | 34.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…25b0backed Over | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Under | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.