Asian League · resolved market
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d0a803d27ac5b1726653e6401a0d29ab212b5be906751d05af1f02ff4eec8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 14,513$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.2 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 57c | 6,020$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 4,510$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.58 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 1,250$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.24 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 55c | 901.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 15c | 672.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 611.56$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 66c | 449.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 443.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 374.58$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 350.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.1 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 32c | 318.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 35c | 284.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 60c | 262.34$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…66a6backed Over | 50c | 258.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 179.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 32c | 151.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 135.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 57c | 106.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 37c | 103.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Over | 75c | 86.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 57c | 69.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Over | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 71c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 32c | 54.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 50c | 50.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 32c | 45.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 32c | 41.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 37c | 40.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 54c | 32.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 31.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 38c | 29.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…3b26backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 40c | 27.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Under | 60c | 26.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Over | 50c | 24.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 17.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Over | 58c | 17.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5this page
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)Shimizu S-Pulse won
- Spread: Shimizu S-Pulse (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.