Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6345a4861400b4962130fd994034dba38ec91dfa25f5283f5e76ad7eaeeb3e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 31c | 1,548$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 1,172$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 727.61$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.76 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 676.7$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…aecdbacked Yes | 25c | 560.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 509.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 9c | 492.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 306.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 296.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 290.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 244.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 20c | 140.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 78c | 110.64$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 105.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 26c | 99.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 74c | 99.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 33c | 97.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 21c | 93.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 20c | 92.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 90.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 90.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 67c | 65.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 47.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 69c | 46.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…23b1backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.