Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89eda08d8a7c788e3daef30cad106b7c5b4970a3cdbeec7996ba48cbf272fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea81…4f4bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,010$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 960.53$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.97 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 693.2$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 73c | 685.21$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.01 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 30c | 563.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 2c | 528.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 73c | 377$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 374.84$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 28c | 282$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 272.69$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 197$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 187.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 176.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…aa01backed Yes | 30c | 175.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 30c | 141.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 119.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 106.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 69c | 101$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 79c | 100.06$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 100.03$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 92.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 76c | 45.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 74c | 29.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 76c | 28.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 75c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 73c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 73c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 25.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 73c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 73c | 25.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 71c | 22.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 72c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 70c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 75c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.