TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$523,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ef9…f171backed Yes55c390,526$215,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215,548.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No45c178,525$80,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,188.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No45c125,000$55,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,25024846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes55c41,607$22,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,883.9335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes54c39,731$21,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,434.257753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c36,842$16,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,171.126,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No44c20,265$8,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,348.415651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No45c18,888$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,388.416848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No45c17,751$7,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,763.059856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c12,872$5,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,959.62,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No45c11,757$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.3585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c9,101$4,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,918.244,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No45c7,823$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.723171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes54c4,812$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.2613444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No45c4,387$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.255947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No46c3,347$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.381,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No45c3,184$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.34163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No46c2,582$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.399153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No50c2,373$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.9446943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No45c2,244$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.4419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.914656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes3c1,925$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7526319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c1,892$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.861,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No45c1,820$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.226654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.9426651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c1,366$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.6884549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No46c1,291$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.124365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c1,174$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.4328242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+85.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes54c679.62$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.9949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No47c640$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.25851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c612.32$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9753344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33025544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes3c558.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.742,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No47c505.05$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.186750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked No46c472.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+93.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c450$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d7…b0e5backed Yes3c428.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No46c427$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.585455.6%30 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No46c424.24$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.131,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No46c319.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8423250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes9c299.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No45c283$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6512448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c278.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No46c273.43$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4317053.5%91 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c232.17$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5375850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No47c180.84$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.738041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ea…0d10backed Yes18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked No46c164.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.252556%14 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.583459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No46c146.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.862365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c142$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8896445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No45c140.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c137$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.351,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c135$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2565557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked No46c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No45c124.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4213939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No45c115$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2535157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No46c113.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2925348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No45c112$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.629259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28be…03fcbacked No46c108.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.891353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked No46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3828950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ce…ea8dbacked No46c106.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.381560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x043c…595fbacked No45c101.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked No46c97.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.815250%26 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No46c95.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Yes55c95.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No46c93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3715030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.68336.1%30 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.527354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.532357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c89.37$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1480853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x106e…28e5backed No46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No45c83.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6858446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c80.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.371,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2511866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No46c72.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3512236.1%44 W · 78 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Yes56c64.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No46c62.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6410540%42 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No47c61.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7318646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3330554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3325456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3336758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3329057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3328255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.