Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d47a0312ca95711456a3c2e768fc6a91b0d67655d063790e9714df69c2ab83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc95b…f819backed No | 46c | 4,881$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.48 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 46c | 3,742$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.59 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 54c | 1,838$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Yes | 11c | 1,531$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 992.99$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 788.68$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 7c | 729.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 3c | 692.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 59c | 650.68$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 646.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…2be0backed Yes | 54c | 638.89$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 537$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.24 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 331.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cc…8105backed Yes | 6c | 321.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 307.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 14c | 279.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Yes | 5c | 269.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 55c | 232.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 205.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 42c | 190$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca5…9e9abacked Yes | 12c | 181.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…b8eebacked Yes | 13c | 177.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83d…c57ebacked Yes | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 153.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 54c | 148.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 54c | 143.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 112.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 108.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…b8a7backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 86.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…1d19backed Yes | 54c | 75.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 42c | 74.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 56c | 68.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 43c | 68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 44c | 67.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 54c | 67.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 46c | 65.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 65.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 43c | 63.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…0997backed Yes | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 52c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…9a43backed Yes | 31c | 35.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 36c | 33.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 44c | 32.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Yes | 54c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…c5d2backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 44c | 24.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1818…2c75backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.