Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb654f8cc62052a0c810a053efe0d5cc0e858c7376638cbf1352efe692100dd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 7,639$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 2,144$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.39 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,746$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.31 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 74c | 1,396$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.51 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 79c | 1,136$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 987.14$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 687.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 75c | 668.17$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 50c | 498.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.85 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 410$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 25c | 340.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 18c | 284.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 13c | 276.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…d132backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a61…478ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +210%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 58c | 178.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff1a…4475backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 25c | 127.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 13c | 123.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 112.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 110.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 101.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 98.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…5cf1backed Yes | 79c | 95.02$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 17c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 87.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 12c | 83.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 56.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 25c | 48.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 26c | 45.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3134backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 31c | 33.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 78c | 30.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.