Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33043d17ccea71c95d40200a677fcf11a26a838b5223e62f683a02a8f1b95a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 80c | 19,713$15,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,746.36 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 25c | 11,245$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.79 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 41c | 9,652$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 59c | 9,587$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Yes | 64c | 7,787$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Yes | 42c | 7,207$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 5,378$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.08 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 5,044$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 38c | 3,541$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.36 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 3,500$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.51 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 3,152$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430.11 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed No | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,790.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +480.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,854$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,833$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.6 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 58c | 2,581$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 59c | 2,300$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 2,153$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.83 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 59c | 2,122$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.4 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 1,754$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.03 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 59c | 1,533$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 63c | 1,463$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.77 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 29c | 1,448$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.96 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 17c | 1,422$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.76 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 1,306$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.94 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 59c | 1,256$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,204$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.48 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 71c | 1,105$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 12c | 999.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 18c | 845.97$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.57 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 39c | 826.71$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.21 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 725.46$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.06 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 30c | 715.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Yes | 79c | 629.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 41c | 611$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 75c | 569.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.79 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 19c | 525.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 27c | 456.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.59 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 44c | 305.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 31c | 298.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.33 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 282$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 57c | 257.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 68c | 246.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 41c | 236.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed No | 73c | 230.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 223.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 60c | 216.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 27c | 216$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 19c | 205.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7d…2669backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 58c | 199.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 190.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 56c | 187.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 58c | 181.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 37c | 152.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 152.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…32c1backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 132.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 64c | 120.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 16c | 112.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 37c | 109.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 28c | 107.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 67c | 107$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 105.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Yes | 20c | 97.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 42c | 96.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?Yes won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.