Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09a439a36d65eb9820e6b63003aebb457f322f792e9a72b3fa081641b146b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.96 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed No | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked No | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked No | 1c | 1,919$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 1,860$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.14 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 1,367$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.31 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,222$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 24c | 1,074$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.49 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,028$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.22 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed No | 1c | 850$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 666$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 620$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 560$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 19c | 525.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 10c | 513.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.48 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 24c | 483.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 22c | 366.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 18c | 363.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 24c | 340$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 23c | 329.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.32 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 19c | 322.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 77c | 315$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 13c | 302.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.91 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 17c | 299.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 253.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 76c | 251.01$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 20c | 249.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 23c | 232.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 229.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 215.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.53 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 17c | 202$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.66 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked No | 20c | 193.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 24c | 185$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.6 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 167$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 164.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 75c | 158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 24c | 155.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 152.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd93…31d1backed Yes | 24c | 151.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 137.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 24c | 123.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 122.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 22c | 121$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 74c | 118$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…2dd4backed Yes | 10c | 115$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 32c | 101.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 99.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 76c | 88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 15c | 87.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 24c | 83.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 81.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 80c | 81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 75.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 17c | 68.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 64c | 53.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 80c | 53.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 78c | 42.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 78c | 34.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…6c2ebacked No | 76c | 32.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…6c94backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed No | 80c | 16.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.