South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b55ebcf7d37e754d6478bdf869ad9e2e16a196b33629651929b35d9c82634d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 0c | 281,523$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.07 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 0c | 8,984$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 1c | 8,930$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 1c | 4,597$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 1c | 4,001$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 2c | 2,778$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 65c | 2,472$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.93 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 67c | 2,369$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 22c | 2,319$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.43 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 77c | 2,260$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 80c | 1,838$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.55 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 22c | 1,412$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.13 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 79c | 1,395$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.87 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 1,333$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.67 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 35c | 1,084$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 34c | 869.64$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 67c | 861.97$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 846.25$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 34c | 721.96$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 697.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 685.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 591.11$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 508$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 464.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.93 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 59c | 411.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Yes | 45c | 329.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 41c | 208.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 40c | 206.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 59c | 203.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 15c | 200.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 56c | 184.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 161.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 116.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812c…b81fbacked Yes | 65c | 114.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695b…36c8backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 33c | 99.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…49c0backed No | 26c | 88.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 35c | 71.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 35c | 63.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 32c | 61.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 56.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 39c | 51.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 59c | 50.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 44.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…004abacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 56c | 33.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 39c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 60c | 21.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Yes | 61c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 79c | 13.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito end in a draw?No won
- Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.