South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfac2297f2383c279cbae79fa82985e7baf1dbfd8d162ce697e4cb9ddbefae1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 48c | 6,111$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,487$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 2,994$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.62 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 34c | 1,120$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e8…38b0backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 48c | 944.89$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 827.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 22c | 751.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 709.07$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.62 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 51c | 674.36$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.18 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 372.85$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…ed9ebacked Yes | 44c | 317.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 239.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 55c | 216.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 54c | 190$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 53c | 77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed No | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…a9cabacked Yes | 47c | 39.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.