South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2ec07dc06c1e02f05337df31848c311a2a9eb06811015958783caf2801a6f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.04 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 72c | 6,374$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.72 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,504$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 924.23$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.36 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 61c | 810$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 724.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 35c | 714$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 35c | 688.38$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.73 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 537.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 30c | 526$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…4feebacked Over | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 53c | 368.38$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 268.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…68a8backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 18c | 152.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 134.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 115.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…dc85backed Over | 65c | 113.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 32c | 63.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…f116backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…311fbacked Under | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 79c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…0aa0backed Over | 66c | 22.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Over | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.