Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5398f57fb183a45aa19918fa9708d6d1125dc37e251d1112d1193a74b35308db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 23,980$11,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,033.15 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 65c | 17,760$11,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 65c | 12,423$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,359.74 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 11,268$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.97 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 37c | 6,757$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.01 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 64c | 6,435$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.62 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 5,200$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 37c | 4,225$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 4,218$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.15 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 44c | 4,180$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.33 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 37c | 3,928$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 21c | 3,833$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.21 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 37c | 3,784$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,649$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.04 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 42c | 3,605$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.96 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 7c | 3,321$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.69 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 62c | 3,127$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.57 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 2,822$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.49 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 36c | 2,600$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,084$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.29 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 2,029$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.8 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 42c | 2,003$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 65c | 1,860$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.76 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 1,549$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 34c | 1,483$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 35c | 1,360$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.06 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.18 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 33c | 1,267$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.4 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,161$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.21 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 48c | 1,123$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 74c | 1,081$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.47 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 35c | 1,047$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.21 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 905.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 49c | 881.61$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 48c | 835.01$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 50c | 787$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.71 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0568…dc48backed No | 68c | 770$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 34c | 753.9$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.33 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 731.34$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.2 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 34c | 731.19$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 34c | 729.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 708.15$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 71c | 694.61$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 34c | 665.93$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 42c | 657.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 62c | 606.38$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 56c | 555.07$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 65c | 519.74$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.91 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 48c | 506.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.53 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 56c | 498.77$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 55c | 458.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 36c | 453.6$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 36c | 436.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 427.63$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Yes | 35c | 388.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 54c | 384.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.95 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Yes | 37c | 324.54$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 52c | 318.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 63c | 281.63$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 34c | 257.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 59c | 240$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 69c | 236.55$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 34c | 234.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Yes | 46c | 228.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 38c | 220$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 37c | 204.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 37c | 174.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +12.5wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 44c | 154.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 151.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 48c | 151$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 50c | 147.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 50c | 145.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 44c | 139.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 73c | 126.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…fa29backed No | 37c | 119.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 113.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 111.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…b131backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 109.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 40c | 108.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.