TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,485 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x912a…2e6abacked Yes43c15,975$6,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,106.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes45c3,199$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.524143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c3,119$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.32,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c1,840$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.521,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes44c1,601$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.822,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No57c1,600$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91224855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No35c1,212$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.648,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68413059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c1,149$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed No55c897.52$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c840.65$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.3665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39916558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34224053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No55c508.89$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8942250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28514945%67 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3891…c730backed Yes47c449.89$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes57c433.57$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9414824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes79c431.84$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No53c427.89$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.851,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22819559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeac8…7d97backed Yes74c398.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No57c368$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7622457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No11c355.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.658740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c347.11$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.181,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17128851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17123056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c268.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.021,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes78c255.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.357034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No57c240$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No43c230.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.957763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063839.5%15 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes42c179.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Yes47c159.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.683063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes44c152.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.414454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c140$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes73c136.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.426749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc63…73b6backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes41c113.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.942045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed Yes71c112.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.911540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes43c112.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3128940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked No10c107.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.571353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e30…5629backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.516842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No57c97.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8422058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Yes59c97.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.164355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No42c95.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.572955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c95.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No57c84.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.445855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No17c84.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.615560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No54c79.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.982,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b02…74aebacked Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c62.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.841,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No46c62.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8913248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.218959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes44c59.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8270055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No54c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2417255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes43c55.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9515651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.564261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes62c52.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes44c49.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.676350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc363…8845backed Yes44c45.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.443145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf5…52adbacked No57c44.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.194146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No57c43.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0218452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c42.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.795,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248b…4d77backed Yes59c42.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked No59c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No28c40.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed No59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed No55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210946.8%51 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.813465.7%88 W · 46 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.815359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7e…9b98backed No59c39.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63b…5c51backed No54c37.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5912535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaff6…07f9backed Yes56c35.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.093458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes70c29.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9826745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x784a…06c3backed Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Yes70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes43c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c24.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed No59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes44c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4416453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.