South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065688f9aff7d4442ef695e32f0037234a47adb84a67f441e6796d6cecb370ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 4,115$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.7 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 2,311$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.68 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 895.66$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 822.09$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 346.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 343.65$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 28c | 325.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 305.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 9c | 289$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 160.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 76c | 131.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 107$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked No | 75c | 70.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 27c | 66.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 63.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 24.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed No | 73c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.