TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,741 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No49c9,949$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.642,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes43c7,496$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.716437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes53c7,342$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No45c5,562$2,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,524.6720545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes45c4,293$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.0913353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes50c3,549$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.431346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c3,141$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.91,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes55c2,078$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.061,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c2,057$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.2476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,522$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.76,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No12c1,500$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2934628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f3…c9d2backed Yes55c1,256$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.761190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+75.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Yes49c1,222$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.6611169.4%77 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No26c1,202$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0111324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes56c1,060$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408065%52 W · 28 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c864.8$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.984,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes41c851.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.6712139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Yes55c707.64$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes45c697.28$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.512,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes50c687.6$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c635.47$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c568.56$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.511,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes57c473.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.168263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14717959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes70c297.72$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No49c293$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5716858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Yes57c261.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.44988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+66.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No48c259.66$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Yes46c249.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Yes54c242.64$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.575261.5%32 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes49c220.47$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.446344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes46c210.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.457742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.14852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes76c201.55$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.498659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da4…b8a7backed Yes36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No43c198.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1280953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.63161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No29c160$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Yes32c151.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.211915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.512532.8%41 W · 84 L-10.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No51c149.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1518842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Yes54c145.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.12231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No54c144.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Yes54c144.07$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.142646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3995…88c2backed No44c140.04$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.62757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes65c138.06$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9814658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes78c135.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.084245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c135.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No23c120.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.076648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.222746.7%106 W · 121 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes43c119.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9114975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No10c111.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.962653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c110.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.211,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes45c110.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.591,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No54c105.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.235056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes55c104.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.110338.8%40 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No45c101.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.473327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528930.3%27 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes32c98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.267844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes37c92.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.325032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No46c90.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8613846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2826554.7%145 W · 120 L-1.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes45c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.962867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes34c83.76$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3814055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Yes32c81.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.255757.9%33 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No30c76.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5212531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa30b…29e5backed Yes57c73.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb6…bc8cbacked Yes54c72.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes52c71.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5418651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No52c71.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0516053.1%85 W · 75 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes45c69.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3222458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb32b…c410backed Yes57c68.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No61c65.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.699857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked No46c64.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2441040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes58c62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2231746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked No48c60.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.242650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9111248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes47c57.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5515949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No67c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8520059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0513346.6%62 W · 71 L-15.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes54c51.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf47…6c2ebacked No50c50.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.262552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes66c49.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.087327.4%20 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7515…0d06backed No45c49.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No25c48.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2715858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.924531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x302c…108abacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes53c45.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3841956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes76c42.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.