Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x232400acb1f74059f961e3db390c621acd8bc3360f098ad10029ceb9872cef2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 26c | 771.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 758.5$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 589.48$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 524.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 68c | 295.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 23c | 279$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 275.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 199.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 34c | 130.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 67c | 123.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 17c | 99.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 95.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 71.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 73c | 61.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 47.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 65c | 39.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 80c | 32.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 25.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.