Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac8458467002322201a59dab84272977f628b11d0ddee7715c2a5c963d44fdda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 30c | 2,340$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 27c | 1,320$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 69c | 1,061$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.52 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 864.17$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 810.56$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 665.05$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 73c | 554.93$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 407.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 336.71$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 234.66$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 233.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 225.39$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 174.85$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 76c | 158.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 141.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…ce8bbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 30c | 127.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 62c | 109.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 105.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 15c | 97.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 76.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 70c | 75.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 73c | 71.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 77c | 62.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 59.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 59.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 113 | 24.8%28 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 50.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 40.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 38.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 30c | 37.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 28.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 43c | 27.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 74c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 71c | 20.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 74c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.