Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ef251f0973dac14c92c5ff4bbb0f0bdb9e46a2b5d5c00ce81a644cd2561242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Villanova Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 471,738$244,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,874.38 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 131,421$63,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,082.3 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 66,968$32,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,144.53 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 43,988$22,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,554.35 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 20,169$9,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,882.98 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 18,650$9,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,137.51 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 14,286$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,285.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 8,781$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.31 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 7,512$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 5,969$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.57 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 4,600$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 4,050$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.46 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 274.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 248.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 189.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats | 38c | 182.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 53c | 176$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 143$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 139.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed St. John's Red Storm | 61c | 88.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova WildcatsSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.