Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71725e82bb115915171f3cf83c2092f21516e88184e0558466d53f8d19d14591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Villanova Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed St. John's Red Storm | 59c | 16,310$9,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,710.9 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Villanova Wildcats | 41c | 14,400$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed St. John's Red Storm | 75c | 5,819$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.37 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Villanova Wildcats | 21c | 5,049$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…e8b8backed Villanova Wildcats | 38c | 3,833$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 6c | 1,593$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed St. John's Red Storm | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 1,303$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Villanova Wildcats | 4c | 1,002$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Villanova Wildcats | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 884.65$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Villanova Wildcats | 40c | 818.86$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.95 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 792.44$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Villanova Wildcats | 22c | 668.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Villanova Wildcats | 20c | 660.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed St. John's Red Storm | 70c | 647.36$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 574.02$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed St. John's Red Storm | 69c | 461.2$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Villanova Wildcats | 41c | 434.69$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 431.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…1400backed Villanova Wildcats | 10c | 397.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Villanova Wildcats | 23c | 351.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 6c | 317$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 316.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Villanova Wildcats | 30c | 316.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 306$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Villanova Wildcats | 12c | 291.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 254.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Villanova Wildcats | 40c | 253$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 235.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 208$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed St. John's Red Storm | 60c | 199.75$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Villanova Wildcats | 35c | 187$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Villanova Wildcats | 42c | 168$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 166.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 161.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 159.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Villanova Wildcats | 10c | 146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…20a8backed Villanova Wildcats | 9c | 143.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed St. John's Red Storm | 54c | 140.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7858…eb9dbacked St. John's Red Storm | 59c | 136.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 14c | 125.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Villanova Wildcats | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked St. John's Red Storm | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 80.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 58.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 50.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Villanova Wildcats | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed St. John's Red Storm | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 45.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Villanova Wildcats | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 36.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 35.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Villanova Wildcats | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Villanova Wildcats | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed St. John's Red Storm | 58c | 19.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcatsthis page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-2.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-1.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.