Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2421e39879b4e5a56df55d6b6ffbef5af678310081b04b32b8efffaa8339d3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 566,640$300,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,872.54 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 200,000$94,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 150,000$70,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,500 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 50,045$23,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,524.24 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,500 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 24,692$11,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,873.43 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.52 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 16,201$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,265$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 4,673$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.67 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 3,048$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 2,202$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.08 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 1,471$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.41 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 54c | 677.69$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 537$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 49c | 440.7$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 47c | 305$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 48c | 277.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 49c | 208.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.84 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 14c | 181$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 47c | 149.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Over | 14c | 143.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 45c | 79.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…7e6dbacked Under | 75c | 55.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 50c | 44.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.28per pick | 46cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Under | 47c | 25.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Under | 50c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red RaidersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 158.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 159.5Under won
- BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.