BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ac3e1a30a1f5d542d0418dd44cde175b869675bb36f9845470108386bdffbe

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Texas Tech Red Raidersof BYU Cougars, Texas Tech Red Raiders
Resolved: Jan 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,881 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	62c	3,218$2,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,212.44	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars	44c	1,896$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.3	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	63c	1,724$1,094 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.42	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed BYU Cougars	41c	1,610$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars	43c	1,572$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$678.43	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	58c	1,521$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.42	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	59c	1,014$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.7	79	65.8%52 W · 27 L	+8.9wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked BYU Cougars	43c	871.94$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.93	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	57c	811.25$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.76	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	58c	808.31$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.91	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked BYU Cougars	45c	800$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	434	50%217 W · 217 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed BYU Cougars	41c	770.36$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.85	990	45.6%451 W · 539 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	59c	665.36$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.8	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed BYU Cougars	38c	658.55$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.05	171	22.8%39 W · 132 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b16…e8b8backed BYU Cougars	35c	638.46$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.46	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.19per pick	29cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	58c	606.36$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.36	132	47%62 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f7…21b8backed BYU Cougars	50c	596.83$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked BYU Cougars	42c	556.94$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…7c36backed BYU Cougars	10c	555.17$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.89	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	36c	531.46$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.34	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars	12c	435.82$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.66	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed BYU Cougars	26c	419.57$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.84	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked BYU Cougars	40c	418.25$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	123	64.2%79 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked BYU Cougars	37c	387.45$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.63	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	60c	383.33$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.33	794	48.9%388 W · 406 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3c…922dbacked BYU Cougars	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed BYU Cougars	58c	291.41$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.42	190	57.4%109 W · 81 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked BYU Cougars	16c	276.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars	42c	275.05$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.12	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	59c	271$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.11	658	25.7%169 W · 489 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked BYU Cougars	6c	260$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	399	3.3%13 W · 386 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	60c	243.48$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.44	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa810…780abacked BYU Cougars	42c	223.05$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked BYU Cougars	60c	218.43$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	47c	202.23$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.81	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	1,487	43%639 W · 848 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	197.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.25	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	57c	196.27$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.49	2,048	32.7%670 W · 1,378 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	58c	189.66$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	498	49.6%247 W · 251 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	51c	188.89$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.39	192	38.5%74 W · 118 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed BYU Cougars	43c	183.77$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.22	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed BYU Cougars	46c	164.77$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.09	164	36%59 W · 105 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	56c	162.88$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.65	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	57c	156.76$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.26	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed BYU Cougars	48c	123.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed BYU Cougars	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BYU Cougars	43c	100.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.15	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked BYU Cougars	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	160	8.1%13 W · 147 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	57c	98.75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.93	1,633	47.3%773 W · 860 L	+25.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BYU Cougars	26c	97.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed BYU Cougars	47c	95.12$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.26	480	51%245 W · 235 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	59c	91.86$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.96	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed BYU Cougars	43c	70$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	294	42.9%126 W · 168 L	-11.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…3f41backed BYU Cougars	37c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	65c	51.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked BYU Cougars	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	53c	48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.56	327	51.7%169 W · 158 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	52c	45.6$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	573	35.6%204 W · 369 L	-27.3wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked BYU Cougars	40c	41.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc9…63b2backed BYU Cougars	74c	40.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	72cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars	44c	39.48$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	67c	38$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.54	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-4.3wins	-0.17per pick	63cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc995…3053backed BYU Cougars	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9432…42a3backed BYU Cougars	37c	32.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	54c	32.06$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.63	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	69c	28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.55	316	66.1%209 W · 107 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders	59c	25.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed BYU Cougars	43c	23.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x265a…a436backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	58c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0708…3b30backed Texas Tech Red Raiders	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e9…152abacked BYU Cougars	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersthis page
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 158.5Under won
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 159.5Under won
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 163.5Under won
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 164.5Under won
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-2.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event