TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over56c275,389$154,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,347.441369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under44c150,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,0006347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c40,720$17,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,916.893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.983562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c17,761$7,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.3252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c16,817$7,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,676.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Under44c9,999$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.562347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c9,091$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c6,366$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.5145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under45c5,600$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5205550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9920544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c4,283$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.251,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.971118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3204040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under44c2,960$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.48251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under47c2,065$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.738744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over55c1,811$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9121650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under5c1,636$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,411$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under48c1,277$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over54c1,256$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Under46c1,148$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c967.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.7931051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c958.52$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3312049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Under48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005530.9%17 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c500.6$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.277254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.825556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.818459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over64c400$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under46c332.28$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6316448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.215847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1328948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under45c280$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under46c205.69$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.194535.6%16 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under46c197$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over56c193.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under44c190$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under46c181$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.26955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.88148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.812453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.810952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.87746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over64c142.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.122568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c126.47$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4717958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811551.3%59 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.88550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under46c109.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.392646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa05…69e3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446647%31 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-52.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.245030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Over55c91.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.38837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Under46c90.78$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under46c89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9416046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over52c84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2215041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.27353.4%39 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.25950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under23c69.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under22c66.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.558861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.48456%47 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.