Venezuela · resolved market
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022fcc51b213f79cae8ee1d00d432a6a645323216789bbf11de6846c02d884ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 13c | 7,208$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,504$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…095dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,964$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…4c91backed Yes | 3c | 4,372$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…d5f9backed Yes | 9c | 3,189$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 2,760$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a7…02fabacked Yes | 13c | 2,480$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…66adbacked Yes | 5c | 2,146$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,472$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,353$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 15c | 1,324$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 8c | 1,324$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…42f7backed Yes | 17c | 1,285$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,251$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,225$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 9c | 1,199$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…bf98backed Yes | 19c | 1,145$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 12c | 1,104$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 2c | 1,078$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,067$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6dfabacked Yes | 2c | 1,015$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…c538backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 31c | 968$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 955.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…4facbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 6c | 843.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…c45bbacked Yes | 7c | 760.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 12c | 710$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 5c | 700$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked Yes | 9c | 681.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 655.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 618.54$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…188dbacked Yes | 3c | 609.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked Yes | 16c | 596.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…4391backed Yes | 9c | 585$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 548.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes | 9c | 539.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…fdfdbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…5814backed Yes | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 479.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…3e18backed Yes | 4c | 447.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87a…009bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…30e4backed Yes | 21c | 421$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…e57fbacked Yes | 3c | 410.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 69c | 408$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 69c | 382$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…3907backed Yes | 11c | 358.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…857fbacked Yes | 9c | 350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…334dbacked Yes | 3c | 336.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 6c | 301.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…db95backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…34fdbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…bf4abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…26fabacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 266.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…2d15backed Yes | 9c | 253.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…f839backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 7c | 241.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 8c | 214.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…557dbacked Yes | 5c | 203.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…a49abacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e05…abc2backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 10c | 199.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 8c | 198.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 69c | 198$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed Yes | 8c | 187$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…eb24backed Yes | 17c | 186.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…4732backed Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…6a73backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…7a93backed Yes | 12c | 171.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…8ee5backed Yes | 10c | 161.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 8c | 155.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…6b44backed Yes | 9c | 153.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a8…76c9backed Yes | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…0a4cbacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…e1f5backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…d9b6backed Yes | 11c | 141.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 13c | 135.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…d098backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…d9bdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…1db1backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +212.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…4bb1backed Yes | 17c | 120.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…abc3backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…bbcfbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 110.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb8…c19dbacked Yes | 12c | 103.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…ea85backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…04adbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…35f0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd130…2a7cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.