Earnings · resolved market
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc0691f4d4a3eda0c0d9306e41d52e5c3f09e3fdc752f19791937ad2a3ffe89b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 51c | 1,337$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.96 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked No | 1c | 976.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 44c | 799.78$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.52 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 29c | 755.01$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 77c | 660.27$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 56c | 611$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 44c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 54c | 389.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 60c | 345.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 66c | 281.25$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…3944backed No | 36c | 244.65$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked No | 39c | 242.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 232$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 40c | 223.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 22c | 207.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 44c | 207$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Yes | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 58c | 171.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 44c | 150.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 56c | 142.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed No | 42c | 120.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 59c | 102.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…8b6fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed No | 40c | 99.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 59c | 97.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…e9ebbacked No | 46c | 81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 25c | 78.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 42c | 77.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 36c | 71.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 42c | 71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…83efbacked No | 46c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…d1f4backed Yes | 61c | 55.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 55c | 50.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…acdabacked Yes | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked No | 40c | 37.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 42c | 34.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…e60ebacked Yes | 58c | 31.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…1b08backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…f00fbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…dd00backed Yes | 72c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee53…7d97backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…624fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60d…bfb5backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…e898backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…51febacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…e11abacked Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.