Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56df8f31264c4650f032d91d805eae354a1697526d34e4f07e3d3231c2bddaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 65c | 10,735$7,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 4,447$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.52 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 3,071$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.91 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 2,487$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.87 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Yes | 59c | 1,510$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 1,121$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 29c | 987.34$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Yes | 51c | 786.7$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 47c | 767.91$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 755.79$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.14 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.65 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 6c | 423$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 39c | 344$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 341.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 6c | 275.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 51c | 268.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 43c | 241.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 72c | 196.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 171.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed Yes | 59c | 171$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 169.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 159.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 149.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 26c | 147.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 35c | 141.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 56c | 140.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 135.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 37c | 135.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 73c | 124.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 59c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 90.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 50c | 86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 13c | 79.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Yes | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 62c | 69.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…d075backed Yes | 61c | 62.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 60c | 57.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…c6abbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…8e94backed No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 69c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Yes | 57c | 47.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 44.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 36.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 35.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed No | 43c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 59c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 60c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 80c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-15?this page
- Will Henan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.