Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb15904a21e8ec9bb73ab877b25730a0917d2c9d68fdd939320e71f97638a06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Tundra Esports, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 44c | 20,134$8,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,299.73 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 8,414$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.56 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 7,455$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.66 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 6,223$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.42 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 39c | 5,885$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.34 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 3,068$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.19 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,513$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,333$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,300$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,036$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.12 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,861$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,198$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.21 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,173$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.66 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 35c | 1,060$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.96 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed MOUZ | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 999.99$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.55 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 993.88$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.21 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ | 38c | 691$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.42 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 654.72$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.13 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 638.1$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed MOUZ | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed MOUZ | 39c | 586.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.67 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 529.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 460.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.86 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 35c | 408.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 58c | 398.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 44c | 374.27$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed MOUZ | 33c | 371$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.57 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 336.87$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.01 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 331.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…6d4bbacked Tundra Esports | 72c | 319.68$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 317.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed MOUZ | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 296.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 33c | 292.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MOUZ | 38c | 263.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 223.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ | 36c | 220.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa257…ea6ebacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed MOUZ | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…92c1backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 193.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 189.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 182.82$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed MOUZ | 58c | 160.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 36c | 158.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 65c | 154.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 148.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tundra Esports | 8c | 148$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 141.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Tundra Esports | 13c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked MOUZ | 33c | 129.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 126.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed MOUZ | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 115$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 109$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.04 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MOUZ | 44c | 102.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed MOUZ | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed MOUZ | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…b8ffbacked MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed MOUZ | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…7486backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 97.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 93.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked MOUZ | 29c | 79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 73.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 60.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 58.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 57.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…055dbacked MOUZ | 42c | 54.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 53.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed MOUZ | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…2aabbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…e568backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed MOUZ | 31c | 48.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 48.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…d774backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 48.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Tundra Esports | 75c | 47.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 46.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 36c | 45.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…9f75backed MOUZ | 38c | 38.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…c62dbacked MOUZ | 43c | 36.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…4e0cbacked MOUZ | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.