Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf742ba2d98ff7b68572d65b892977b8f570dcb3375ed4741299e4afac527d95b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 13,333$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.43 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 9,520$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.48 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 8,708$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.33 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 7,320$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.56 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 7,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.99 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked G2 Esports | 48c | 5,860$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 5,000$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.51 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…0633backed G2 Esports | 47c | 4,256$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed G2 Esports | 45c | 3,351$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.14 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed G2 Esports | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.99 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed G2 Esports | 47c | 2,423$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.07 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,121$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.97 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 2,045$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.23 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked G2 Esports | 48c | 2,013$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.76 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 1,586$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.44 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,511$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.56 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed G2 Esports | 49c | 1,430$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.9 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 1,318$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.19 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked G2 Esports | 46c | 820.1$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.85 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 777$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports | 47c | 643$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.79 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed G2 Esports | 56c | 514.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 513.38$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.09 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 507.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 379.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 361.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 Esports | 46c | 348.96$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 304.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.26 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed G2 Esports | 45c | 304.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.26 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked G2 Esports | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 273$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed G2 Esports | 65c | 263$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed G2 Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 188.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 154.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 149.11$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Karmine Corp | 55c | 119.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed G2 Esports | 48c | 113$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…3918backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked G2 Esports | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 60.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed G2 Esports | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp | 29c | 51.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed G2 Esports | 47c | 49.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Karmine Corp | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0637…1636backed G2 Esports | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed G2 Esports | 47c | 21.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.