TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4916…5442backed G2 Esports67c26,810$17,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,977.864560%27 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp33c15,077$4,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,945.9746637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports65c15,043$9,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,242.0891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked G2 Esports67c12,937$8,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,296.8667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed G2 Esports67c10,956$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,611.8139964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Karmine Corp33c9,287$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.5875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karmine Corp34c9,138$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.652,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Karmine Corp34c8,933$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.5657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 Esports67c8,750$5,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.172,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Karmine Corp33c7,007$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.79823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Karmine Corp36c5,774$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.9145041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed G2 Esports68c5,381$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.243154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp40c4,422$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.891,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp2c3,408$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.671,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Karmine Corp33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Karmine Corp3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014327.3%39 W · 104 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Karmine Corp23c2,847$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.7114930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Karmine Corp39c2,788$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10015644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Karmine Corp33c2,557$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.819636.5%35 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp22c2,464$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.551,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp33c2,334$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.4986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp33c2,036$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.1166843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed Karmine Corp32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64017749.7%88 W · 89 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed G2 Esports61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Karmine Corp33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66050242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Karmine Corp9c1,950$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.597427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp32c1,922$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.52,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed G2 Esports60c1,758$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3328240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked Karmine Corp33c1,700$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56133058.5%193 W · 137 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Karmine Corp33c1,684$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.673831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed G2 Esports71c1,561$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6810959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed G2 Esports67c1,510$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7725074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp33c1,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.171,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked G2 Esports71c1,497$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.117062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed G2 Esports69c1,412$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2489347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked G2 Esports63c1,397$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.085062%31 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed G2 Esports68c1,231$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0316058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp39c1,200$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.482,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G2 Esports67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3961,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp33c1,186$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3885836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G2 Esports69c1,169$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9398956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Karmine Corp32c1,129$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7954246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Karmine Corp34c1,115$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Karmine Corp33c1,111$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.3145248%217 W · 235 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Karmine Corp34c1,033$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2823832.4%77 W · 161 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Karmine Corp40c1,013$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed G2 Esports60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp41c977.41$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.742,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Karmine Corp17c923.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15443539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed G2 Esports71c819.99$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.211,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Karmine Corp27c800$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.642852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Karmine Corp32c800$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.879533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked G2 Esports67c795.28$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.211,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked G2 Esports59c761.3$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1440145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp33c752$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.82,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed G2 Esports68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports59c734.58$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1890537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked G2 Esports71c706.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.981,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Karmine Corp3c658$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245618.9%86 W · 370 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed Karmine Corp35c651.28$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23014335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Karmine Corp33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19879653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Karmine Corp3c600$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.566116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Karmine Corp32c599.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9928448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Karmine Corp32c599.52$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffd8…7514backed Karmine Corp10c567.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0635533.5%119 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e6…59dbbacked Karmine Corp33c565.69$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.683438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Karmine Corp33c547.61$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17811840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed G2 Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed G2 Esports61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1958235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed G2 Esports61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1953237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked G2 Esports67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.381,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp37c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.991,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Karmine Corp5c483.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.571,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Karmine Corp33c479.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16044245.9%203 W · 239 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked G2 Esports63c415.79$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.815552.3%81 W · 74 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp18c406.63$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.072,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed G2 Esports75c401.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.821,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports67c385.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.851,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Karmine Corp41c370$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.720154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed G2 Esports68c362.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.271,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Karmine Corp31c358.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.581,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…137dbacked G2 Esports77c355.31$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.724759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked G2 Esports60c333.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.9228852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e57…831dbacked Karmine Corp12c330$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.418757.2%107 W · 80 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Karmine Corp33c303.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Karmine Corp33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10082650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked G2 Esports60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023152.4%121 W · 110 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 Esports69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9338659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Karmine Corp19c299.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5736660.1%220 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Karmine Corp12c299.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3742835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp16c299.95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed G2 Esports69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked G2 Esports60c285.34$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1428166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp30c284.56$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.453,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed G2 Esports69c282.57$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.615953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.