TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$289,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed Karmine Corp0c33,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3316511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Karmine Corp34c20,010$6,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,801.1638235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Karmine Corp28c12,932$3,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,676.7485836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Karmine Corp22c10,719$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.779823.5%23 W · 75 L-10.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-46.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed G2 Esports66c10,718$7,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.068558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Karmine Corp6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60032440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports79c8,798$6,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.8991854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed G2 Esports78c6,140$4,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.861,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Karmine Corp6c5,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30567552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Karmine Corp20c5,000$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.0832457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Karmine Corp1c4,812$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5166116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Karmine Corp26c4,575$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.8514930.9%46 W · 103 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea4d…c654backed G2 Esports77c4,358$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.443154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed G2 Esports65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22530845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…70afbacked Karmine Corp3c3,220$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092b…614ebacked Karmine Corp35c3,174$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1615644.2%69 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Karmine Corp20c3,023$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.531,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked G2 Esports79c2,951$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.437062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Karmine Corp22c2,950$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64197427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp32c2,934$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.251,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed G2 Esports66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8501,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed G2 Esports67c2,309$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.671,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Karmine Corp32c2,201$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.3232939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Karmine Corp28c2,168$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.337640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Karmine Corp29c2,147$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.8966843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed G2 Esports80c2,080$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.681,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Karmine Corp23c2,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45046637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Karmine Corp25c1,993$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed G2 Esports75c1,935$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.314854.2%26 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp34c1,905$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64575630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed G2 Esports79c1,904$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.441,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed G2 Esports65c1,800$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.0689943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Karmine Corp34c1,750$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Karmine Corp23c1,560$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8286943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Karmine Corp30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed G2 Esports65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52566059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…408cbacked G2 Esports65c1,460$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51114754.4%80 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed Karmine Corp8c1,300$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5424248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp24c1,287$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2975342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp40c1,190$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4761,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp32c1,185$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.722,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Karmine Corp34c1,183$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40744245.9%203 W · 239 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp33c1,125$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2547838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Karmine Corp22c1,037$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1475942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked G2 Esports59c1,033$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1440145.4%182 W · 219 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp10c1,011$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.981,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Karmine Corp15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Karmine Corp18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18042852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed G2 Esports66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Karmine Corp15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked G2 Esports67c992.24$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.315552.3%81 W · 74 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Karmine Corp32c895.23$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.479938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp34c877.2$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed G2 Esports63c840.3$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.736741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Karmine Corp31c771.26$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8617143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed G2 Esports66c764.67$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9928448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed G2 Esports66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Karmine Corp34c750.7$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.796414.1%9 W · 55 L-16.9wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-69.2%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x1c2e…d554backed G2 Esports67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2717745.2%80 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp41c730.02$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.312,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Karmine Corp10c700$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Karmine Corp33c692.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3848844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Karmine Corp29c659.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1919656.6%111 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports63c639$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.431,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Karmine Corp24c617.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026635%93 W · 173 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Karmine Corp15c606.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033738%128 W · 209 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Karmine Corp18c599.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0126344.9%118 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Karmine Corp35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Karmine Corp27c537.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14556432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Karmine Corp22c530$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.81,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed G2 Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014148.2%68 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Karmine Corp35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Karmine Corp33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Karmine Corp35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…7adfbacked Karmine Corp20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018836.7%69 W · 119 L-0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Karmine Corp6c499.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports67c478$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.7449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed G2 Esports66c462.05$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.171249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed G2 Esports79c448.95$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.241,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa233…af5bbacked Karmine Corp17c444.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510639.6%42 W · 64 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Karmine Corp25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Karmine Corp5c359.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9845937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Karmine Corp34c356.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2424323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Karmine Corp27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Karmine Corp15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.534050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Karmine Corp20c349.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.530231.1%94 W · 208 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp16c304.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.853,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked G2 Esports67c304.48$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4835159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked G2 Esports79c301.9$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4868557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Karmine Corp41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Karmine Corp34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10249541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed G2 Esports65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10538659.8%231 W · 155 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Karmine Corp34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045042.2%190 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed G2 Esports69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Karmine Corp35c282.97$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.043240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a72…c866backed Karmine Corp23c263.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.295334%18 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba06…8024backed G2 Esports65c239.46$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.815853.4%31 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Karmine Corp42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Karmine Corp42c221.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8969841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c09…f399backed Karmine Corp33c221$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8469442.1%292 W · 402 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.