CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb1cd455b96a816de159565545324a4c0d4b2347ac18003cec4229b73e8a0621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof G2 Ares, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 70c | 2,341$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.14 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Donstu Esports | 73c | 2,067$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.52 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed G2 Ares | 4c | 1,903$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 34c | 1,707$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed G2 Ares | 12c | 1,429$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Ares | 23c | 955.01$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 36c | 943.43$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 899.45$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked G2 Ares | 41c | 884.65$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.12 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 653.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 Ares | 50c | 500.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 455.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 452$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.38 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed G2 Ares | 37c | 447.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 371.03$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Ares | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Donstu Esports | 50c | 312.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.17 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked G2 Ares | 33c | 282.12$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed G2 Ares | 33c | 276.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed G2 Ares | 27c | 226.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed G2 Ares | 33c | 217.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed G2 Ares | 22c | 217.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Donstu Esports | 73c | 212.3$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed G2 Ares | 35c | 172.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Donstu Esports | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 163.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 153.03$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 148.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Donstu Esports | 55c | 113.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 110.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 105.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Donstu Esports | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 Ares | 31c | 96.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Ares | 21c | 91.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 85.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed G2 Ares | 15c | 82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed Donstu Esports | 67c | 74.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed G2 Ares | 50c | 74.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked G2 Ares | 31c | 67.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 40c | 63.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…8e5dbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 63.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked G2 Ares | 32c | 63.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 41.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 39.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Donstu Esports | 59c | 39.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed G2 Ares | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked G2 Ares | 49c | 37.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…db98backed Donstu Esports | 61c | 35.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed G2 Ares | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 33.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 30.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked G2 Ares | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerDonstu Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.