Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40fec05b624ea1d7d25cef25c6f5043e179abb15586a9da65453c381b699c7b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 44c | 40,897$17,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,926.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 56c | 20,375$11,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,392.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 56c | 9,770$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 5,484$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.22 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 56c | 5,352$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 23c | 1,525$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.31 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,393$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 1,078$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 998.76$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.01 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 57c | 964.24$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.76 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 903.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 53c | 699.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 78c | 571$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 19c | 559.63$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 80c | 520.32$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 386.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 322.88$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 18c | 279.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 78c | 279$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 42c | 250.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 56c | 245.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 43c | 199.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes | 34c | 197.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…a9a0backed Yes | 17c | 185.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 183$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 178.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 174.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 52c | 155.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed No | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Yes | 17c | 67.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Yes | 55c | 50.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Yes | 56c | 43.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…f3f0backed No | 46c | 43.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed No | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 76c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Yes | 53c | 19.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.