Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa252f479452110c8b97f59fd1d7a8677eea0e68f3b5b12cb24179c25d1c93c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belinda Bencicof Sloane Stephens, Belinda Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 45,000$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.02 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sloane Stephens | 5c | 21,229$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.33 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sloane Stephens | 15c | 20,000$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.74 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sloane Stephens | 4c | 19,531$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.09 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sloane Stephens | 4c | 17,676$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.15 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Sloane Stephens | 10c | 6,114$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.73 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sloane Stephens | 3c | 5,677$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sloane Stephens | 9c | 2,442$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Sloane Stephens | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Belinda Bencic | 77c | 1,529$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.46 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Sloane Stephens | 19c | 1,504$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.14 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 1,501$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.28 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 1,334$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Sloane Stephens | 12c | 1,109$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.06 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 1,077$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 1,062$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sloane Stephens | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b1…aca9backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 985.07$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Sloane Stephens | 22c | 959.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Sloane Stephens | 12c | 836.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 815.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 780.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…feacbacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 649.99$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Sloane Stephens | 9c | 590$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 488.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 444$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sloane Stephens | 18c | 423$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Sloane Stephens | 12c | 403.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sloane Stephens | 16c | 403.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Sloane Stephens | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Sloane Stephens | 16c | 375.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Sloane Stephens | 15c | 370.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 353.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 333.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sloane Stephens | 11c | 303.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Sloane Stephens | 5c | 263.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Sloane Stephens | 21c | 261.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 532 | 55.5%295 W · 237 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Sloane Stephens | 19c | 242.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…3316backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 231.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 227.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 55%153 W · 125 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 223.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 223.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Sloane Stephens | 9c | 211.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Sloane Stephens | 6c | 204.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 181.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Sloane Stephens | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 170.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Sloane Stephens | 12c | 163.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…ed86backed Sloane Stephens | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…83c2backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 27.9%57 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Belinda Bencic | 79c | 110.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Sloane Stephens | 11c | 100.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sloane Stephens | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Sloane Stephens | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sloane Stephens | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Sloane Stephens | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…6789backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 88.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Sloane Stephens | 17c | 69.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Belinda Bencic | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Sloane Stephens vs Belinda Bencicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Stephens vs BencicBencic won
- Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Stephens (+1.5)Bencic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.