Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Caijsa Hennemann vs Lidia Encheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd400fdd205513e319e965b343bc0f675f6fb61e9d2c5e6996da6546c3a63218b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Caijsa Hennemannof Caijsa Hennemann, Lidia Encheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bce…8595backed Lidia Encheva | 51c | 2,972$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caijsa Hennemann | 49c | 1,744$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.01 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lidia Encheva | 14c | 1,527$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.83 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lidia Encheva | 18c | 1,065$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Lidia Encheva | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 49c | 477.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.4 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Lidia Encheva | 14c | 464.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Caijsa Hennemann | 63c | 329.94$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Caijsa Hennemann | 45c | 226$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 48c | 170.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lidia Encheva | 30c | 116.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lidia Encheva | 36c | 101.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 46c | 92.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lidia Encheva | 23c | 81.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Caijsa Hennemann | 63c | 78.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Caijsa Hennemann | 70c | 71.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Caijsa Hennemann | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Lidia Encheva | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Lidia Encheva | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 78c | 24.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 70c | 24.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Caijsa Hennemann | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lidia Encheva | 50c | 20.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 71c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.