Tennis · resolved market
ITF Southaven: Logan Zapp vs Landon Ardila
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46162381fc06d98a52ad6bdf6acdf793ab91d8fa75fbc672e0891106d057c9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Logan Zappof Logan Zapp, Landon Ardila
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Landon Ardila | 25c | 28,553$7,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,092.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Landon Ardila | 6c | 3,728$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.93 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Landon Ardila | 43c | 3,158$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.43 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…f2f9backed Logan Zapp | 39c | 2,834$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.03 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Landon Ardila | 48c | 2,655$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc1…2e9fbacked Logan Zapp | 52c | 2,548$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Logan Zapp | 43c | 2,341$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.53 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Landon Ardila | 21c | 1,750$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Landon Ardila | 14c | 1,470$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Logan Zapp | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…867abacked Logan Zapp | 34c | 1,107$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Landon Ardila | 25c | 992$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Landon Ardila | 19c | 856.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Logan Zapp | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Logan Zapp | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 117 | 60.7%71 W · 46 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Logan Zapp | 64c | 755.39$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Logan Zapp | 76c | 546.63$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Logan Zapp | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Logan Zapp | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Landon Ardila | 12c | 362.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Landon Ardila | 25c | 354.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Landon Ardila | 43c | 322.21$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Logan Zapp | 64c | 314.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Landon Ardila | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Landon Ardila | 41c | 287$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…3316backed Logan Zapp | 48c | 222.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Landon Ardila | 34c | 219.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…3a93backed Logan Zapp | 46c | 218.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Logan Zapp | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Logan Zapp | 31c | 192.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.19 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Logan Zapp | 27c | 166.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Logan Zapp | 28c | 159.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Landon Ardila | 48c | 145.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Landon Ardila | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Landon Ardila | 13c | 128.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Landon Ardila | 27c | 115.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Landon Ardila | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Landon Ardila | 47c | 92.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Landon Ardila | 26c | 84.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Landon Ardila | 47c | 76.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Logan Zapp | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Landon Ardila | 66c | 75.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Landon Ardila | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Landon Ardila | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Landon Ardila | 46c | 66.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Logan Zapp | 66c | 64.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Logan Zapp | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Landon Ardila | 29c | 51.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Landon Ardila | 62c | 47.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Logan Zapp | 68c | 40.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Logan Zapp | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…3222backed Logan Zapp | 57c | 32.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Logan Zapp | 34c | 32.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Logan Zapp | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Landon Ardila | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Logan Zapp | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Logan Zapp | 79c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Logan Zapp | 66c | 16.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Landon Ardila | 78c | 16.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.